Martin Haugh Financial

06/24/2026

Prediction markets suggest the Federal Reserve may show more agreement at its latest interest rate meeting.

Traders on Kalshi placed a 70% probability on a unanimous Fed rate decision in June. That would mark a shift from April, when four members dissented — the highest number of dissents since 1992.

The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady in the 3.50% to 3.75% range as policymakers continue weighing inflation, oil prices, and broader economic uncertainty.

A more unified vote could signal that policymakers are aligning around the current rate path, even as inflation remains above the Fed’s long-term target.

For households and businesses, Fed decisions can influence borrowing costs, savings yields, mortgage rates, and overall economic confidence.

Even when rates do not change, the level of agreement among policymakers can offer insight into how the central bank is reading the economy.

Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi largely forecast a unanimous decision among FOMC members at Wednesday's meeting, after April's divided vote.

06/24/2026

Most couples spend years preparing financially for retirement.

Very few have talked about what retirement will actually look like.

Not the number. The life.

👉 Where will you live?

👉 What will your days look like?

👉 What happens if one of you is ready to stop working and the other is not?

A 2025 Fidelity survey found that 48 percent disagree on the age they prepare to retire. And research from Ameriprise found that nearly two-thirds expect to retire at the same time, while only 11 percent actually do.

The gap between what couples assume and what they have actually discussed is where retirement quietly breaks down.

The good news is that most couples are not as far apart as they fear. They just have not had the conversation yet.

👉 If retirement is somewhere on your horizon, the most valuable thing you can do right now is not check your portfolio.

It is to sit down with your partner and start asking the questions you have both been putting off.

06/22/2026

Saving for retirement gets a lot of attention. Spending those savings can be just as important.

A recent survey found that only 31% of Americans know what “decumulation” means — the process of drawing down retirement assets over time.

That uncertainty may help explain why some retirees spend far less than they could. One report found that about one-third of retirees still had 100% or more of their initial retirement assets by their mid-80s.

For many people, the concern is not just having enough saved. It is knowing how to use those savings while accounting for healthcare costs, inflation, taxes, market changes, and longevity.

Common withdrawal guidelines, such as the 4% rule, may provide a starting point, but they do not account for every personal circumstance.

The transition from saving to spending can be both emotional and financial. After decades of building retirement assets, using them thoughtfully can take a different kind of confidence.

Many Americans spend decades saving for retirement, but lack a plan for using that money once they stop working, a new survey finds. Here's what to know.

06/17/2026

Most people assume that a spouse's unused estate tax exemption passes to the surviving spouse automatically.

It doesn't.

Claiming it REQUIRES A FILING WITH THE IRS within 9 months of a spouse's death.

The IRS doesn't send a reminder. The deadline just passes.

A six-month extension is available, bringing the total window to 15 months. But the clock starts the day your spouse dies, not the day you think to ask about it.

This is exactly the kind of detail that gets lost in the fog of grief and estate administration.

It's also exactly the kind of thing we watch for on behalf of the families we work with. We also help families by working with their tax, legal, and accounting professionals to make certain that paperwork is completed in a timely manner.

06/15/2026

Father's Day is at the end of this week. Before the dinner and the gifts, there's something worth talking about.

Most men will show up for everyone around them without being asked. But when it comes to their own health, the appointments get pushed off longer than they should. 💚

The CDC reports that women are 33 percent more likely than men to visit the doctor and twice as likely to seek preventive care.

If there is a man in your life worth celebrating on Sunday, ask when he last had a checkup.

That conversation might matter more than any gift.

06/14/2026

🎂 Happy Birthday, Nick!

We hope you have a wonderful day celebrating with family and friends. Thank you for your leadership, dedication, and all that you do for the team.

Here is a recent family photo taken in Sunriver, OR.

06/13/2026

Major student loan changes are set to take effect July 1, bringing updates to borrowing limits, repayment options, and federal aid eligibility.

New rules will limit how much some students and parents can borrow. Parent PLUS loans will be capped at $20,000 per year and $65,000 total per student, while new caps will also apply to graduate and professional degree borrowing.

Repayment options are also changing. New federal loan borrowers will have fewer choices, with options narrowing to a tiered standard repayment structure or a new income-driven option called the Repayment Assistance Program.

Borrowers currently enrolled in SAVE may also need to choose a new repayment option, with loan servicers expected to send notices about next steps.

Pell Grant rules are changing as well, including expanded eligibility for some short-term workforce training programs.

For borrowers and students, the takeaway is simple: watch for communications from loan servicers, confirm contact information is current, and review available options before deadlines arrive.

The changes will affect how much students and their parents can borrow, as well as their repayment options.

06/12/2026

Federal Reserve independence is receiving renewed attention as questions around political pressure and monetary policy continue to surface.

In recent remarks, former Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the central bank as facing a political “stress test,” emphasizing the importance of keeping monetary policy decisions insulated from short-term political influence.

At the center of the discussion is the idea that public trust matters. When households, businesses, and markets believe the Fed is making decisions based on economic conditions, that credibility can support confidence in the broader financial system.

The concern is that political pressure could push policymakers toward short-term decisions that may not align with long-term price stability.

History has shown that inflation can become harder to manage when interest rate decisions are delayed or influenced by outside pressure.

For the economy, the broader issue is not just who leads the Fed — it is whether the institution can maintain credibility while balancing inflation, employment, and financial stability.

The Supreme Court is expected to rule within weeks on Trump's attempted removal of a Fed governor.

06/11/2026

True or false: Setting up a trust means your estate will avoid probate.

False. And it's one of the most common estate misunderstandings wealth strategists see. ⚖️

A trust doesn't protect anything the day you sign it. It has to be set up, meaning your assets need to be physically transferred into it:

▪️ Real estate titling may need to be addressed.

▪️ Bank and investment accounts need to be retitled in the name of the trust.

▪️ Insurance policies may need to be updated if the trust will be involved.

Overlooking these steps leaves the trust as an empty legal container.

Your estate may still go through probate. Creditors may still have access. The protections you prepared for may not apply.

The paperwork gets done, life moves on, so don’t let the trust get lost in the shuffle.

It happens more than most people realize. 📋

It's worth a conversation to make sure what you've built is actually doing what you intended. A trust involves a complex set of tax rules and regulations. Before moving forward, consider working with a professional who can guide you through the trust activation process.

06/10/2026

What would you do with a windfall?

A business sale. An inheritance. A bonus that lands bigger than expected.

Most people assume they'd handle it well.

But sudden money follows patterns. And the patterns aren't always flattering.

Psychologists call it sudden wealth syndrome: the anxiety, decision paralysis, and relationship pressure that arrive alongside a large sum. It shows up whether the windfall was a complete surprise or something you spent years building toward.

The 5 most common mistakes we see:

⏳ Upgrading your lifestyle before a strategy exists

🤝 Giving to family under emotional pressure

📊 Attempting to make decisions without professional guidance

⚖️ Freezing and making no decisions at all

📋 Missing the critical deadlines in year one

All five can be managed, but only if you get ahead of the emotions before the decisions start piling up.

The most important thing you can do in the first 90 days? Maybe nothing.

Tell very few people. Then consider building a team of professionals who can offer insights and guidance.

There is rarely a cost to waiting. There is frequently a cost to moving too quickly.