09/01/2026
Markets delivered a relatively quiet week of consolidation, with modest reversals across major asset classes.
U.S. large-cap equities advanced, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 each gaining approximately 0.5%, while the Russell 2000 declined 1.5%. Technology led sector performance, supported by Microsoft and Nvidia’s exceptional earnings growth. Nvidia reported second-quarter revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year, and guided to approximately $104 billion in third-quarter revenue. Communications and financials also outperformed, while energy, health care, industrials, and real estate lagged.
Economic data remained mixed. GDP saw only a minimal revision but continued to reflect slower growth than in the first quarter. Personal income, consumer spending, and durable goods improved, while new home sales remained weak. Home-price growth moderated to a pace below inflation, and consumer sentiment stayed negative amid persistent inflation concerns.
The Federal Reserve remained central to the market narrative following the Jackson Hole Symposium. Chair Warsh emphasized that inflation remains the Fed’s predominant focus, while acknowledging that the economy appears to have strengthened. Markets subsequently increased the implied probability of a September rate hike from roughly 35% to nearly 60%.
Treasury yields were broadly stable, though debate continued over fiscal discipline and the Treasury’s purchases of longer-term bonds. International equities were mixed, with a stronger U.S. dollar weighing on developed markets and unhedged foreign bonds.
Commodities diverged: wheat and corn rose on supply and export concerns, while crude oil fell more than 4% to approximately $83 per barrel and gold declined as the dollar strengthened.
Attention now turns to Friday’s employment report, which will help determine whether July’s payroll decline was temporary, or an early warning sign for the labor market.
The information above has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but no representation is made as to its completeness, accuracy or timeliness. All information and opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Information provided in this report is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, investment, legal or tax advice; and does not constitute an offer, or a solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell any security, investment or other product.
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