06/11/2026
Everyone's talking about the OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs — and a lot of people are already planning to buy in on day one.
Before you do, consider this: Facebook dropped 50% in its first three months as a public company. Snap jumped 44% on opening day and still hasn't fully recovered. Uber and Lyft were both hitting record lows just months after their big debuts.
Day one of a hyped IPO is usually one of the worst times to buy — not because the company is bad, but because the excitement drives the price way above where it should be.
I wrote a full breakdown of the pattern, what the data actually shows, and when history suggests the better entry points really are. Worth a read if you’re thinking about jumping into the next big IPO.
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