03/01/2025
If only the fertile fields of central California could secede from Kalifornia and be the 52nd State!
Yesterday I talked to a local farmer about the state of farming locally. I asked how it was going and was surprised to hear them say they were probably closing up shop. For them, there is a perfect storm happening.
The PG&E bills to run the pumping units for water can exceed over 100k a year. The water that was talked about for farmers has not been delivered yet. According to the farmer, LA did get some water but as of yet, farmers have not seen it.
One major thing as well is some of the subsidies farmers get from the gov have just been cut by DOGE. Will they come back online, I don't know but some of the independents will probably feel that the most. Some almond farming in the central valley has been cut down and won't be coming back.
Because farmers are getting out, there is a lot of farm land on the market right now. The price per acre has fallen off a cliff. Drive around the farming areas of Shafter and you see lots of farm land sitting as dirt. As of early 2024, agricultural land values in Kern County, California, have experienced a notable decline. In 2015, prime farmland prices reached highs of approximately $25,000 to $30,000 per acre. By early 2024, these values had decreased to around $16,000 to $18,000 per acre. Now it's going even lower, close to $12,000 per acre.
There's probably going to be some changes in farming, which will ultimately result in the major players scooping up the independents that don't have enough leverage to get what they need.