12/06/2022
The Silver Lining of Inflation - Update
November 2022
On November 1st, the Treasury Department announced the new rate of the I-Bond. The rate dropped from its previous rate of 9.62% down to 6.89%.
If you were one of the investors that were able to open an account prior to the rate, drop on November 1st, you still get to enjoy the 9.62% rate for six months from the month that you purchased your bond.
The six months after that you will receive the new rate of 6.89%.
Remember you must hold an I-bond for a minimum of one year. But the term of an I-Bond is 5 years. If you close out your I-bond before the 5-year term is up the penalty is three months’ worth of interest.
If you close your I-bond at the end of the first twelve-month period you will receive 9.62% for the first six months, 6.89% for the next three months, and then forfeit the last three months of interest.
On a $10,000 investment that will still provide you with and effective rate of over 6% in interest for the year, still much higher than you will receive in most CD’s.
You can choose to leave your bond open for 15 months. Then the three months of interest that you would forfeit would be at the rate announced by the Treasury Department on May 1st, 2023.
You can also hold your bond for the full five years. Your interest rate will continue to adjust on each six-month anniversary of your bond to the rate in effect at the time.
Please see our article from September (below) for other information on I-Bonds.
The Silver Lining of Inflation
September 2022
With all the bad news about inflation in the press recently, here is a bit of good news:
Through October 2022, you can buy Series I bonds that pay 9.62 percent interest.
And you receive that rate for six months from the time of purchase.
What happens after that? On November 1, 2022, the U.S. Treasury Department sets a new six-month rate equal to the fixed rate (currently zero) plus the Consumer Price Index inflation rate.
The interest you earn for the first six months gets added to the principal, and you earn interest on that interest during the next six months (think compound interest).
Sounds too good to be true. There’s a trick, right? Not really, but the government keeps your money, both your principal and your interest, for at least one year.
Mechanics
It works like this: You are buying a 30-year bond. The interest rate changes every six months.
You can cash out any time after one year, but if you cash out before five years, you have to forfeit three months of interest (no big deal).
So, if you hold the bond for 18 months, you will receive 15 months of interest.
Let’s say inflation stays as it is and you earn 9.62 percent on your Series I bond for the full year. At the end of the year, your bond has a principal balance of $10,985.
If you cash out, you forfeit three months interest. Three-quarters of 9.62% is still a 7.22% rate of return.
You don’t pay taxes on the interest until you cash out. You get the compounding effect tax-free. It’s like a Roth IRA without age limits and penalties.
Key point. You can’t lose the money you invest or the interest you earn, other than the three months’ worth if you cash in before five years.
When you do cash in, you pay federal income taxes on the interest, but you don’t pay state, county, or city income taxes.
It is possible (albeit unlikely for many) to avoid taxes on the interest altogether if you use the monies for qualified higher education expenses.
Okay, So What’s the Downside?
You can’t buy more than $10,000 per year, although if you buy from Treasury Direct and also utilize your tax refund, you can acquire $15,000 of bonds per year.
The I bond purchase limit on a tax return is $5,000—regardless of joint or single filing.
If you’re married, your spouse can buy $10,000, so now you’re up to $25,000 per year.
Now, let’s add in your corporation or corporations. Such entities can purchase up to $10,000 of such bonds per calendar year.
Example. Sam, his spouse, and his two corporations are hot for the 9.62 percent of tax-deferred interest. He has not yet filed his 2022 tax return, which shows a tax refund.
With Sam, his spouse, and his two corporations, Sam can buy $45,000 of I bonds in calendar year 2022.
He can do the same during calendar year 2023.
The major downside to the bonds is that you cannot buy more than the annual limits above. There’s no overall limit, just the annual limits.
Don’t have $10,000? You can open an I Bond for any amount from $25 up to $10,000 if purchased electronically through the Treasury Direct website.
Inflation and Deflation
The Series I bond is based on inflation. So, if inflation drops to zero, cash out that bond. Meanwhile, ride this inflation wave.
And remember, your Series I bond cannot go down in value. If your $10,000 I bond earned $985 in interest, the new principal balance is $10,985 and that principal balance never goes down.
Deflation can’t hurt it.
Opening a treasury account is relatively simple. Simply go to the treasury direct website and follow the instructions on the screen to establish an account and set up an automatic transfer.
If you have questions on how I Bonds can fit into your overall financial, plan, please contact your financial advisor.
Cronin, Hanley, VanZile & Lorenzo
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