06/12/2026
🚀 Today was finally the day. SpaceX went public in what is being called the largest IPO ever. 🚀
The stock jumped right out of the gate, but just because it's up today doesn't mean that's how the story ends.
I'm not here to talk anyone into or out of buying SpaceX. I just think it's important to remember that IPOs often come with a lot of excitement, media attention, and investor enthusiasm. It can take time for a company to find its footing as a publicly traded stock.
The chart below from Truist looks at how other large IPOs performed after going public. What stands out isn't necessarily the long term returns, but the volatility along the way. The average maximum drawdown during the first year was -55%, and the median was -54%. Even many companies that finished their first year with positive returns experienced significant declines before getting there.
The lesson? A great company doesn't always mean a smooth ride for the stock. Whether you're considering SpaceX or any other IPO, it's worth understanding the potential volatility before making a decision.