04/25/2026
This week, oil prices spiked, peace talks stalled, the Strait of Hormuz stayed closed, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at brand new all-time highs anyway.
If you are wondering how that math works, the answer is roughly: "Intel."
📊 THE SCORECARD: WEEK ENDING APRIL 24, 2026
• S&P 500 ............... 7,165.08 ▲ +0.55% week ▲ +4.67% YTD ← NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
• Dow Jones ........... 49,212.00 ▼ -0.48% week ▲ +2.39% YTD
• Nasdaq ................. 24,836.60 ▲ +1.50% week ▲ +6.86% YTD ← NEW ALL-TIME HIGH
• Russell 2000 ........... 2,784.26 ▲ +0.26% week ▲ +11.18% YTD
• NYSE Composite .... 23,022.00 ▼ -0.76% week ▼ -0.27% YTD
🔥 THE BIG STORY: A SEMICONDUCTOR SUPERCYCLE
Intel rose 23.6% on Friday alone, its best day since 1987, after blowout Q1 earnings and a casual mention from Elon Musk that Tesla might spend $3 billion at Intel's chip foundry. AMD added 13.9%. Nvidia reclaimed the $5 trillion market cap milestone. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose for an 18th consecutive session, which analysts called possibly the strongest semi rally in history.
Meanwhile, the software sector had a quiet little meltdown. IBM fell 7.5%, ServiceNow dropped 17%, and the broader software space had its worst day in months. The takeaway: in 2026, chips are eating software's lunch.
🛍️ OIL'S ROUND TRIP
Last week, WTI crude plunged 14% on ceasefire optimism. This week, it jumped 15% on the same ceasefire failing to materialize. Nothing says "market efficiency" like erasing two weeks of price action in eight trading days.
• WTI Crude Oil ......... $95.13/bbl ▲ +15.2% on the week
• Gold ......................... $4,712/oz ▼ -3.4% (broke 4-week win streak)
• 10-Year Treasury ..... 4.32% ▲ +6 bps
• US Dollar (DXY) ..... 98.40 ▲ +0.2%
• Fed Funds Rate ........ 3.50 to 3.75% (unchanged, FOMC meets next week)
• CPI Inflation (March) 3.3% YoY (Core: 2.6%)
👀 NEXT WEEK IS THE BIG ONE (APR 28 to MAY 1)
This is the most consequential week on the 2026 calendar:
• 📅 Tue Apr 28: Visa earnings, Iran peace talks resume in Islamabad
• 📅 Wed Apr 29: Apple and Amazon earnings
• 📅 Wed Apr 30: FOMC rate decision, Q1 GDP advance estimate, Meta and Microsoft earnings (yes, all on the same day)
• 📅 Thu May 1: PCE inflation, weekly jobless claims
Between Powell, GDP, and four members of the Magnificent Seven all reporting in 48 hours, next Wednesday may be the busiest economic day of the year. Plan accordingly.
📖 READ THE FULL REPORT
For the complete data dashboard, all five major indexes, key macro indicators, and the full week-ahead breakdown:
👉 www.nequitco.com/blog-articles/market-intelligence-report---week-ending-april-24
As always, markets go up, markets go down, and once in a great while a 60-year-old chip company has its best day since the Reagan administration. We are here to help you make sense of all of it.