06/14/2026
Market Intelligence Report Summary – Week Ending June 12, 2026
Markets clawed back last week's chip wreckage with broad gains: S&P 500 +0.65% to 7,431.46, the Dow set a record at 51,202.26, and the Russell 2000 ripped +3.90% in a classic rotation comeback. The VIX crashed -17.8% as last week's "Fed hike" panic gave way to "Iran deal" euphoria.
The plot was wild. May CPI hit 4.2% YoY Wednesday (highest since 2023, energy +23.5% YoY), and PPI roared +1.1% MoM Thursday (hottest since 2022). Three hot inflation prints in three weeks. And yet : the 10-year yield FELL to 4.48% because Trump signaled an imminent U.S.-Iran framework agreement that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude crashed -9.3% to $84.33, gold -2.85%, and the dollar slipped. The bond market is betting Iran solves inflation before the Fed has to.
The encore Friday: SpaceX's IPO, the largest in history at $75 billion, opened at $150 and closed at $161.11 (+19.34%) - closing at a $2.1 trillion market cap. Elon Musk officially became the world's first trillionaire on paper. More than 500 million shares traded, approaching Facebook's first-day record from 2012.
Week ahead: All eyes on Wednesday June 17, 2:00 PM ET. Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting, with a fresh dot plot and his debut press conference. Hold odds: 97%. But the median 2026 dot - two cuts, one cut, zero, or a hike? - is the year's main event. Retail sales Tuesday, Philly Fed Thursday, then markets are CLOSED Friday for Juneteenth.
Full charts, data, and analysis:
Stocks staged a clean rebound from last Friday's chip wreckage. The S&P 500 added +0.65% to 7,431.46, the Dow Jones gained +0.66% to a record 51,202.26, and the Nasdaq Composite eked out +0.70% to 25,888.84. The headline performance, however, belonged to small caps: the Russell 2000 surged +3.90% to...