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Some candlestick formations to consider. If you find these patterns on a higher timeframe (Daily/Weekly), there is a hig...
09/06/2019

Some candlestick formations to consider. If you find these patterns on a higher timeframe (Daily/Weekly), there is a higher probability of it actually playing it out. Knowing how these formations occur is key to ultimate profitability. Courtesy-- Hemant Ji

08/06/2018

*The India VIX*

India VIX is the pet name for the India Volatility Index, an index disseminated by the NSE. It measures the degree of volatility or fluctuation that active traders expect in the Nifty50 over the next 30 days. It was the Chicago Board Options Exchange which originally came up with the term VIX in 1993 and the NSE, with the CBOE’s permission, kicked off the India VIX a few years ago.

Why is it important?

The India VIX is a good indicator of whether participants in stocks are feeling fearful or complacent about the near future.
One way to understand the VIX is that it represents the expected market volatility over the next 30 days.

Higher the India VIX values, higher the expected volatility and vice versa. As the volatility index rises, one should become careful as the market can steeply move into either direction.

📌VIX Data as on 7th June

👉🏻India VIX - 11.98

👉🏻52 Week High-24.03

👉🏻52 Week Low - 8.76

Happy learning

24/10/2017

How to spot stock for very quick bucks--

Whenever any stock in cash segment crosses 10% with at least 1000-2000% increase in volumes and after 2:45 pm going on the upper side like Bhushan Steel did yesterday... 5 day moving average shows that today is the first day where volume and price breakout has happened... certainly a share for BTST in cash segment also...like Bhushan Steel gave good 8% profit this morning.... look at the chart it was easily available at 19% appreciation around 2:45 pm yesterday... good 8% profit today itself hope you guys got it how to catch BTST stock with small amount as per your pocket for good 3-10% gain either same day or next morning for some of our friends followers who have limited capital but really want to be part of our successful and fruitful journey. Thanks!

05/10/2017

🥁 *VERY IMPORTANT GYAN FOR INVESTORS*🥁
🦋 *How to select a stock for Investment or u can say How to check fundamentals of a stock*
🦋
First Go to BSEINDIA.com In the search box type the name of the stock which u r interested in investing :-
Now select Financial,
see its results Annual as well as quarterly
Firstly see Revenue, if its increasing every quarter as well as annual or its stable but not negative then its a good stock
Then see its Net Profit,if its increasing every quarter as well as annually then its a good stock
Then see its Debt as well as Reserve Capital:-
Suppose the Debt of a company was 100 crores in 2014, 90 crores in 2015, 70 crores in 2016, 50 crores in 2017
And its Reserve Capital in 2013 was 210 crores in 2014, 218 crores in 2015, 226 crores in 2016, 240 crores in 2017
Here u r seeing the Debts of this company is decreasing every financial year and the Reserve Capital is increasing every financial year. So, its a safe company to invest in. If a Company has zero debt but has good Reserve capital then its a Golden stock to invest
Now see Shareholding Pattern of that stock. Just see the percentage of stock promoters r holding & public is holding.
For example:Suppose in 2014 Promoter Holding 66% Public or Institutions holding rest 34%, 2015 Prom Holding 70% and Pblic and inst=30%, In 2016, Promoters holding 72% and public and inst=28% & in 2017 Promoters holding is 75% and public and inst=25%. So its a very less risky stock bcs Promoters holding has increased every year and not decreased so they hv faith in their company and If FIIs holding also increases every quarter or annually then additional good point for stock
Now see its P/E ratio and also check its Industry P/E ratio
Suppose its a Pharma stock trading at 200 rupees and its PE ratio is just 9 and Its Industry P/E ratio is 27. What does it means ? It means that the stock has the potential to triple from here bcs its Industry P/E ratio is thrice its own P/E ratio
Next point is to check if Promoters have pledged its shares.Suppose company is posting very good results every year but most of its shares are pledged by promoters then simply avoid that stock
Now,next see its Book Value. Book Value is Total Assets of a company Divided by its total no of shares. Suppose its Book value 85 and the share is already trading at 450. For me its already a overvalued stock bcs its trading way above its book value even though its a good company risk element is high for investment. Now, Suppoe the BV of a stock 300 and its currently trading at 75 . Its a good pick or safe pick for investment bcs its BV is still 4 times its current price. But u hv to check other above mentioned factors also to invest in it. Only if its BV is high than its current price doesn't mean that stock is good
Another way is to select turnaround story stocks. Suppose a company was posting losses every financial year, but suddenly this year it has posted profit. So the stock is ready for turnaround now
Suppose, the company had huge debts but every quarter its decreasing its debt, its also a turnaround candidate
Now how to find Multibaggers. I know everyone wants to know this :-
Yes,just see the All time datas of a stock suppose A stock was just 8 Rupees in 2006 and went to 250 in 2009 but started coming down again and came to 48 and now again in 2017 it crossed 250 and closed above 250 twice. Its a multi year breakout in that stock now and its a multi bagger now just keep a tight stop loss 210 to 220 and keep buying it till it reaches 500 atleast thats our 1st tgt now. Now at 500 again review the fundamentals mentioned above if everyting is fine then stay invested for further upmoves or if fundamentals not supporting then simply just book ur profits around 500

19/08/2017

HOW IS NIFTY CALCULATED

1% move in TCS = 12.46 points move in nifty

1% move in ITC = 10.09 points move in nifty

1% move in Infosys = 7.36 points move in nifty

1% move in Maruti suzuki = 3.52 points move in nifty

1% move in L&T = 4.66 points move in nifty

1% move in Dr.Reddy = 3.39 points move in nifty

1% move in Icici Bank= 4.66 points move in nifty

1% move in Hdfc = 5.20 points in nifty

1% move in Hdfc Bank = 6.63 points move in nifty

1% move in Tata Motors = 2.44 points move in nifty

1% move in Hindalco = 1.33 points move in nifty

1% move in Ongc = 6.01 points move in nifty

1% move in Ultratech Cement = 4.77 points move in nifty

1% move in Tata steel = 2.26 points move in nifty

1% move in Hcl Tech = 3.1 points move in nifty

1% move in Wipro = 3.5 points move in nifty

1% move in Coal india = 2.10 points move in nifty

1% move in Zeel = 0.81 points move in nifty

1% move in Sunpharma = 2.98 points move in nifty

1% move in Bosch = 2.14 points move in nifty

1% move in Bajaj Auto = 2.86 points move in nifty

1% move in Heromotocorp= 1.98 points move in nifty

1% move in Acc = 0.95 points move in nifty

1% move in Axis Bank = 3.52 points move in nifty

1% move in Indusind Bank = 3.18 points move in nifty

1% move in Sbi = 5.88 points move in nifty

1% move in Cipla = 1.44 points move in nifty

1% move in Tech mahindra = 3.17 points move in nifty

1% move in Hindustan unilever= 6.04 points move in nifty

1% move in Ntpc = 2 points move in nifty

1% move in Yes Bank = 2.13 points move in nifty

1% move in Bank of Baroda = 1.88 points move in nifty

1% move in Ambuja Cements = 1.74 points move in nifty

1% move in Asian Paints = 1.17 points move in nifty

1% move in Adani ports = 1.35 points move in nifty

1% move in Reliance = 8.75 points move in nifty

1% move in Gail = 1.77 points move in nifty

1% move in Kotak Bank = 4.32 points move in nifty

1% move in Tata Power = 0.83 points move in nifty

1% move in Bharti Airtel = 2.8 points move in nifty

1% move in Bpcl = 3.5 points move in nifty

1% move in M&M = 3.24 points move in nifty

1% move in Pnb = 2.74 points move in nifty

1% move in Power grid = 0.87 points move in nifty

*Some of the newly added stocks in nifty like Indiabulls Hsg are missing from the above

Everyone does a Top Down Approach, but by analysing this we can do a bottom up approach i.e by analysing the top weighted stocks in Nifty we can analyze what will be the trend of Nifty in the coming days!

22/03/2017

Value Pick : Century Enka 350-360

17/02/2017

Long term pick : Karur vyasa @ cmp 92-93

23/01/2017

5 things one must consider before making fresh Section 80C investment for FY 2016-17
Courtesy : Economic Times

The fag end of the financial year is when we scurry around and grapple with bewildering alphanumeric combinations like Section 80C and 80DD. If your tax-saving efforts are last minute the chances of locking funds in an unsuitable investment are quite high.

Tax-saving investment should never be made on an ad-hoc basis or for an ill-conceived goal. But with the accounts department of your organisation knocking on your door to submit proofs of actual investments, many people try to make tax saving investments at the last minute.

Here is how you can do last-minute tax planning to not only reduce your tax liability, but also save towards the goals you have set at different life stages.

While choosing the right tax-saver, base your decision on these five important things, among others:
*How much deduction from gross total income can you avail
*The amount of fresh tax-saving investments you need to make
*Kind of tax-saving instrument you should invest in
*Tenure of the investment
*Taxability of income from the investment

Once you have got a fix on these, equally important is to choose a tax-saving instrument which can be linked to a specific goal .
How much deduction can you avail
Section 80C allows deduction from gross total income (before arriving at taxable income) of up to Rs 1.5 lakh per annum on one or more eligible investments and specified expenses. The eligible investments include life insurance, Equity Linked Savings Schemes (ELSS) mutual funds, Public Provident Fund (PPF), National Savings Certificate (NSC), etc., while expenses and outflows can include tuition fees, principal repayment of home loan, among others.
If you have exhausted your annual limit Sec 80C limit of Rs 1.5 lakh, you can also look at National Pension System (NPS) to save towards retirement and, in the process, save additional tax.

From 2015-16 onwards, an additional (additional to Section 80C) deduction of up to Rs 50,000 under Section 80CCD (1b) for investment in NPS is also possible. For someone in the highest 30 per cent income tax bracket, it's an additional annual saving of about Rs 15,000.

Further, the premium paid towards a health insurance plan for self and family members qualifies for tax benefit under Section 80D for Rs 25,000 and Rs 30,000 for those above 60. If one has a home loan, interest payments made towards its repayment can also be claimed under Section 24 of the Income Tax Act. The other deductions include donations under Section 80G, interest payments under Section 80E for education loan, etc.

Fresh investments you need to make
Before you start looking for the right tax saver, run this simple exercise to evaluate whether you actually need to make any fresh investments for this financial year (2016-17).

Non-Section 80C deductions: First, look at all non-Section 80C deductions like the interest paid on home loan, health plans, educational loan.
Section 80C outflows: Then consider Section 80C-related expenses like children's tuition fees, principal repayment on home loan, pure term life insurance plans premiums.
Existing Section 80C commitments: Consider all the existing Section 80C commitments to invest/to pay premium such as in Employees' Provident Fund (EPF) and endowment life insurance, respectively

The exercise above gives you a total of existing commitments under Section 80C, 80D and other deductions. Now, from your gross total income, reduce the amount to arrive at the taxable income.

If your net income after doing the above calculation is still above the tax exemption limit of Rs 2.5 lakh then you need to look at further tax saving. To reduce taxable income further and provided the limit of section 80C isn't yet exhausted, look for the right Section 80C investments.
Kind of tax-saving instrument
Within the basket of Section 80C investments, there are two options to choose from: Investments offering "Fixed and assured returns" and those offering "market-linked returns".

The former primarily includes debt assets, including notified bank deposits with a minimum period of five years, endowment life insurance plans, PPF, NSC, Senior Citizens Savings Scheme (SCSC), etc. The returns are fixed for the entire duration and and generally in line with the rates prevalent in the economy and very close to inflation figure. They suit conservative investors whose aim is to preserve capital rather than create wealth.

The 'market-linked returns' category is primarily the equity-asset class. Here, one can choose from ELSS of mutual funds and Unit-Linked Insurance Plan (ULIP), pension plans and the NPS. The returns are not assured but linked to the performance of the underlying assets such as equity or debt. They have the potential to generate higher inflation adjusted return in the long run to the extent they are based on the equity asset class.
Tenure
All the above tax-saving instruments, by nature, are medium to long term products: From a three-year lock-in that comes with ELSS to a 15-year lock-in of PPF. Some like life insurance require annual payments to be made for a longer duration.

Taxability of income
Another important factor to consider is the post-tax return of the tax-saving investment. For instance, most fixed and assured returns products such as NSC provide you with Section 80C benefits, but the returns, currently 8 per cent (five-year) annually, are taxable. This makes the effective post-tax return equal to 5.52 per cent for the highest taxpayers. Considering the annual inflation of six per cent, the real return is almost zero!

Of all the tax-saving tools, only PPF, EPF, ELSS and insurance plans enjoy the EEE status, i.e., the growth is tax-exempt during the three stages of investing, growth and withdrawal.

Making the right choice
First, identify your medium and long term goals. A market-linked equity-backed tax-saving instrument is good for long term goals as equities need time to perform. And, before considering a taxable investment, see the tax rate that applies to you and consider the post-tax return. A low post-tax return after adjusting for inflation will not help you in achieving your goals in the long run. Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money, especially over long term.

Conclusion
Tax planning should ideally begin at the start of every financial year. Remember, the risks of planning tax-saving in a hurry later are manifold. There is, for instance, a high probability of picking up an unsuitable product. Also, there isn't any one instrument that can help you save tax and at the same time also provide safe, assured and highest return. Your final choice should ideally be based on a gamut of factors rather than solely being driven by returns from the financial product.

21/11/2016

Stock picks for medium to long term investors:

As the markets have seen quite significant correction , this has provided us for a long awaited opportunity to enter in the share market. Everyone is wondering what stocks to buy as so many stocks are present at mouth watering prices. But please dont fall in the trap but invest wisely. No doubt there is possibility for some more correction but it is practically impossible to pinpoint the bottom. But choosing fundamentally and technically sound stocks can lead you to making fortunes. For new investors it is indeed a good time to start now. Here are ideas

IT sector : Hexaware 192

Banking sector : ICICI Bank 257

Power sector : SJVN 30.0
GIPCL 92.5

Disclaimer: Kindly make your own research or consult your financial advisor before you go ahead with these picks.

15/11/2016

SGX Nifty & its importance:
SGX Nifty, also known as a Singapore Nifty, involves taking position in the Singapore Exchange on Futures contracts . The Futures contracts settlement is based on the NIFTY settlement price in the Indian stock exchange NSE. This gives international investors the flexibility of betting on Indian markets without having to setup or register the entity with the Indian authorities. Since the SGX allows for 24 hour trading via after market trades, investors can hedge their bets at any time. Plus, it is also considered a good indicator to where Indian market will open the next day, due to this a lot of traders follow this to check how SGX Nifty is doing.

SGX – Singapore exchange:
Singapore exchange is the leading exchange of Asia allowing investors to take positions in different products based on the futures which are traded on the exchange. Apart from India the exchange also allows one to take positions in FTSE, China A50 index, MSCI Asia, MSCI Hongkong, MSCI Singapore, MSCI Taiwan ,Nikkei 225, Strait Times etc. Thus, FIIs are able to take positions in all major indices while being in Singapore.

We bring you SGX Nifty Live Chart & Quotes to know expected opening levels of NSE Nifty before the market opens.



SGX Nifty contract specifications:
The derivative contract size of each SGX Nifty contract is:

Contract Size = $2 (USD) * Current Price of NIFTY Index futures price

while the minimum price movement of the futures contract is 1$ which mean it is equal to 0.5 index price moments. The contracts which are available trading can be divided into 2 kinds i.e Monthly contracts and Quarterly contracts . Most of the volumes is concentrated in the monthly contracts. Normally the monthly contracts are available for the 2 serial months e.g in the month of November , trading can happen in November Contracts as well as December contracts. The quarterly contracts of SGX Nifty are March, June, September and December.The contracts are cash settled based on the closing price of S&P NIFTY index as on 6:00pm Singapore time or 3:30 pm Indian Time. The closing price of Nifty index is based on the average of the last 30 mins of trading and is not the final value of the index.

27/09/2016

BECOME YOUR OWN STOCK ANALYST

Courtesy : Investopedia


Nobody asks you to become your own doctor or your own lawyer, so why should anybody ask you to become your own stock analyst? Some people like to take up cooking simply because they enjoy doing it. Similarly, there are people like Warren Buffett who enjoy the process of making investments. Therefore, if you are an investor who likes to be self-reliant, then you should consider becoming your own stock analyst. With a big question mark hanging over analysts' credibility, it is always better to learn the ropes. Read on to find out how you too can think like an analyst, even while sitting at home.

Analysis Is a Process

It doesn't matter whether you are an investor looking for growth or value; the first step in thinking like an analyst is to develop a probing mind. You need to find out what to buy or sell at what price. Analysts usually focus on one particular industry or a sector. Within that particular sector, they focus on select companies. An analyst's aim is to deeply probe the affairs of the companies on their list. They do this by analyzing the financial statements and all other available information about the company. To cross-check the facts, analysts also probe the affairs of a company's suppliers, customers and competitors. Some analysts also visit the company and interact with its management in order to gain a firsthand understanding of the workings of the company. Gradually, professional analysts connect all the dots to get the full picture.

Before making any investment, you should do your own research. It is always better to research several stocks in the same industry so that you have a comparative analysis. However, the biggest constraint in doing your own research is time. Retail investors who have many other things to do may not be able to devote as much time as professional security analysts. However, you can surely take up just one or two firms in the beginning, to test how well you can analyze them. That would help you in understanding the process. With more experience and time, you can think of putting more stocks under your lens.

The Best Place to Start Is Where You Are

Analyzing the analysts' reports is the best way to start your own analysis. That way, you save a lot of time in cutting short preliminary work. You can learn about your selected company simply by reading analysts' research reports. You may not blindly follow analysts' sell or buy recommendations, but you can read their research reports to get a quick overview of the company, including its strengths and weaknesses, main competitors, industry outlook and future prospects. Analysts' reports are loaded with information, and reading reports by different analysts simultaneously would help you in identifying the common thread. Opinions may differ, but basic facts in all reports are common.

Furthermore, you can take a closer look at the earnings forecasts of different analysts, which ultimately determine their buy or sell recommendations. Different analysts may set different target prices for the same stock. Always look for the reasons while reading analysts' reports. What would have been your opinion about the present stock, given the same information? No clue? Then move on to the next step.

What to Analyze

For reaching your own conclusion, you need to understand the various steps involved in a stock analysis. Some analysts follow a top-down strategy, starting with an industry and then locating a winning company, while others follow a bottom-up approach, starting with a particular company and then learning about the outlook of industry. You can make your own order, but the entire process must flow smoothly. Any process of analyzing a stock would involve the following steps.

Industry Analysis

There are publically available sources of information for almost any industry. Often, the annual report of a company itself gives a good enough overview of the industry, along with its future growth outlook. Annual reports also tell us about the major and minor competitors in a particular industry. Simultaneously reading the annual reports of two or three companies should give a clearer picture. You can also subscribe to trade magazines and websites that cater to a particular industry for monitoring the latest industry happenings.

Business Model Analysis

You should focus on a company's strength and weaknesses. There can be a strong company in a weak industry and a weak company in a strong industry. The strengths of a company are often reflected in things such as its unique brand identity, products, customers and suppliers. You can learn about a company's business model from its annual report, trade magazines and websites.

Financial Strength

Whether you like it or not, understanding the financial strength of a company is the most crucial step in analyzing a stock. Without understanding financials, you cannot actually think like an analyst. You should be able to understand a company's balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statements. Often, numbers lying in the financial statements speak louder than the glossy words of an annual report. In case you are not comfortable with numbers, no need to hesitate, just start learning as early as possible.

Management Quality

Analysts also focus on management quality. It is often said that there are no good or bad companies, only good or bad managers. Key executives are responsible for the future of the company. You can assess company management and board quality by doing some research on the Internet. Tons of information is available.

Growth Analysis

Ultimately, stock prices follow earnings. So in order to know whether stock prices would be moving up or down in the future, you need to know where future earnings are heading. Unfortunately, there is no a quick formula that can tell you what to expect for future earnings. Analysts make their own estimates by analyzing past figures of sales growth and profit margins, along with profitability trends in that particular industry. It's basically connecting what has happened in the past to what's expected to happen in the future. Making accurate enough earnings forecasts is the ultimate test of your stock analysis capabilities, because it's a good indication of how well you understand those industries and companies.

Valuations

Once you know about future earnings, the next step is to know about the worth of a company. What should be the worth of your company's stocks? Analysts need to find out how much the current market price of the stocks is justified in comparison to the company's value. There is no "correct value," and different analysts use different parameters. Value investors look at intrinsic worth whereas growth investors look at earning potential. A company selling at a higher P/E ratio must grow at a higher price to justify its current price for growth investors.

The Bottom Line

The ultimate goal of every investor is to make a profit. However, as the saying goes, not all roads lead to Rome. Never blindly accept what stock analysts have to say and always do your own research. Not everybody can be an investing expert, but you can always improve your analytical skills when it comes to stocks.

11/09/2016

Important terms to check while purchasing a stock

1. P/E:
The P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of a stock (also called its “earnings multiple”, or simply “multiple”, “P/E”, or “PE”) is a measure of the price paid for a share relative to the annual income or profit earned by the firm per share.A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying more for each unit of income. It is a valuation ratio included in other financial ratios.The reciprocal of the P/E ratio is known as the earnings yield. Stock having a P/E less than 30 are said to be good investmets
eps
2. EPS:
EPS. Total earnings divided by the number of shares outstanding. Companies often use a weighted average of shares outstanding over the reporting term. EPS can be calculated for the previous year (“trailing EPS”), for the current year (“current EPS”), or for the coming year (“forward EPS”). Note that last year’s EPS would be actual, while current year and forward year EPS would be estimates.
dvield
3.DVI (Sividend yield):
The yield a company pays out to its shareholders in the form of dividends. It is calculated by taking the amount of dividends paid per share over the course of a year and dividing by the stock’s price. For example, if a stock pays out $2 in dividends over the course of a year and trades at $40, then it has a dividend yield of 5%. Mature, well-established companies tend to have higher dividend yields, while young, growth-oriented companies tend to have lower ones, and most small growing companies don’t have a dividend yield at all because they don’t pay out dividends

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