08/10/2025
Speculation about which taxes might increase in the budget next month (and how much they might increase by) continues to mount. At the moment, nothing is certain.
However one move which is being reported as increasingly likely is a reduction in employees' National Insurance contribution rates offset by an increase in tax rates.
This would be a step towards simplification of the tax system and technically wouldn't breach the government's manifesto pledge not to increase taxes on 'working people' (since the move would be tax neutral overall for employees currently subject to NI). However, it could affect anyone who doesn't currently pay NIC on their income, including:
- Employees above State Pension age
- Pensioners
- Landlords
- Small company directors drawing their income via a low salary, topped up by dividends.
For now, it appears to be a case of sitting tight and waiting to see what happens before implementing any changes.
Other areas of possible change include Inheritance Tax and Capital Gains Tax.