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Australian shoppers just hit the brakes. Is your stock still accelerating?Retail growth is about to roughly halve.Deloit...
13/10/2026

Australian shoppers just hit the brakes. Is your stock still accelerating?
Retail growth is about to roughly halve.

Deloitte Access Economics' latest quarterly forecast has real retail turnover growth sliding from 2.8% in 2025–26 to 1.5% in 2026–27.

The slowdown is uneven, and that's where the risk sits:
→ Household goods: from 5.8% growth to a 0.2% decline
→ Clothing and footwear: 1.7% down to 0.1%
→ Department stores and large online retailers: 2.2% down to 1.1%
→ Food and smaller treats: recovering from a 0.1% decline to 1.6% growth

Shoppers are still spending. They're just spending smaller.

For a growing retailer, wholesaler, or distributor, that shift shows up in three places:

→ Inventory: Reorder points set for last year's customer will overbuy big-ticket SKUs. Every extra week on the shelf is cash sitting on the shelf.
→ Cash flow: Slower stock turns stretch your cash conversion cycle while supplier terms stay fixed. After three rate hikes this year, funding that gap costs more.
→ Margin: Clearance discounting to shift slow movers eats the margin your budget counted on.

The businesses that handle 2026–27 well will reforecast demand now, while there's still room to adjust January buys and protect working capital.

At VNC, our bookkeeping and inventory experts connect Cin7 and Xero so stock, sales, and cash sit in one live view. We're building VNC to be the most trusted finance partner for product businesses across accounting, inventory, analysis, automation, advisory, and AI.

Which category in your business is slowing first? Tell us in the comments 👇

Book a free advisory call: https://tinyurl.com/muw27cs7
Learn More: https://vncaustralia.com.au/

📰 Source: Deloitte Access Economics, via Accountants Daily
https://www.accountantsdaily.com.au/business/22851-retail-spending-on-the-brakes-following-economic-hits-h1-2026-deloitte

Your margin might be shrinking right now and your reports have no idea.Global container rates rose 5% in the last week o...
01/09/2026

Your margin might be shrinking right now and your reports have no idea.

Global container rates rose 5% in the last week of June to US$4,166 (That’s A$5825) per 40ft container, the highest level since September 2024. Australia won't feel this immediately. The report itself points out that Australian freight rates typically move several weeks after the bigger international trade lanes, because Australia makes up less than 2% of global container volumes. When carriers redeploy vessels to chase better returns elsewhere, we absorb the ripple effect later, not the initial hit.

That lag is exactly what makes this dangerous.

Freight cost gets built into your landed cost. Landed cost gets built into your inventory value. Inventory value gets built into your COGS. When one link in that chain moves and your system doesn't move with it, everything downstream keeps reporting numbers that already stopped being true.

So freight goes up in June. Your system doesn't catch it. Stock keeps getting valued at the old cost. Your COGS understates what you actually paid. Your margin looks healthy on the report while it's actually thinner in reality, and nobody notices until the numbers just don't add up at month end.

The businesses that don't get blindsided by this aren't watching freight indexes daily. They've built systems that update landed cost the moment rates shift, so the report and the reality stay the same thing.

Worth asking this week: does your inventory system already reflect where freight rates are heading, or is it still running on last quarter's numbers?

📅 Book a free 30-minute call: https://tinyurl.com/muw27cs7

Rising costs. Late payments. New super rules landing at the same time.Most Australian manufacturers are dealing with all...
25/08/2026

Rising costs. Late payments. New super rules landing at the same time.
Most Australian manufacturers are dealing with all three right now, not one at a time.

81% report higher costs from supply chain disruption. 46% say the volatility is delaying their growth plans. Neither of those is a surprise if you're running a manufacturing business this year.

The one that catches people off guard is the payment side. Up to 30% of invoices are being paid late, with an average delay of 25 days. That's nearly a month of cash sitting somewhere other than your account, while your own bills don't wait that long.

Add buffer stock strategies to protect production, and the new Payday Super timing is landing soon, and cash flow is getting squeezed from more angles than most planning cycles account for.

None of this means slowing down. It means knowing exactly where your cash is tied up before it becomes a problem.

We've seen manufacturers turn this around once they get real visibility into their numbers. It usually starts with one honest look at where the cash is actually going.

If you want to look at your own numbers with fresh eyes, book a free 30-minute call.

Book a free 30-minute call: https://tinyurl.com/muw27cs7
Or Visit: vncaustralia.com.au

Outsourcing your accounting feels like a big call when you've spent years building your business your way.That was where...
18/08/2026

Outsourcing your accounting feels like a big call when you've spent years building your business your way.

That was where one of our clients, Kerryn from Empire Accounting, started. Handing over the numbers to someone outside her business meant trusting that they'd actually understand how it runs, not just apply a standard process to it.

She mentioned something that stuck with us: the concern wasn't really about the accounting itself, it was about losing that understanding of her business in the process. Once she saw the work firsthand, consistent, easy to communicate with, no judgement about how things were being run before, that concern eased.

It's a common hesitation, and a fair one. Every business runs a little differently, and that shouldn't get lost the moment you outsource a part of it.

If you've been sitting on the fence about outsourcing, let's talk it through. No pressure, no sales pitch, just a real conversation about whether it's the right move for your business.

📅 Book your free 30-minute consultation: https://tinyurl.com/muw27cs7
🌐 vncaustralia.com.au

If you've been putting off a business purchase, the timing might soon matter a little more.The Government has proposed m...
12/08/2026

If you've been putting off a business purchase, the timing might soon matter a little more.

The Government has proposed making the $20,000 Instant Asset Write-off permanent from 1 July 2026, for small businesses with aggregated turnover under $10 million.

But there's a detail worth knowing.

The $20,000 threshold is per asset, not per business. So if a business purchases multiple eligible assets, each costing less than $20,000, each could potentially qualify for an immediate deduction.

For assets costing $20,000 or more, the simplified depreciation pool would continue to apply, with depreciation at 15% in the first income year and 30% in the years after.

There's also an important timing point. To qualify for the immediate deduction, an eligible asset needs to be first used, or installed ready for use, in the relevant income year.

And for now, businesses should plan with some caution. The proposal to make the $20,000 threshold permanent from 1 July 2026 is not yet law.

For businesses already considering new equipment or other eligible assets, this is one to keep on the radar as FY2026-27 plans take shape.

Source:https://www.ato.gov.au/about-ato/new-legislation/in-detail/businesses/20000-dollars-instant-asset-write-off

At VNC Australia, we help businesses understand how changes like these fit into their wider tax and financial planning.

Want to discuss what it could mean for your upcoming purchases?
Book a free 30-minute advisory session: https://tinyurl.com/muw27cs7

Ai Group's June numbers put a figure on something we've been watching for a while: input prices up 15.8 points, sales pr...
04/08/2026

Ai Group's June numbers put a figure on something we've been watching for a while: input prices up 15.8 points, sales prices up less than 1. A 61.3-point gap, the widest this survey has recorded.

When pricing power disappears like this, the only lever left is knowing your actual cost per unit, in real time, not last quarter's.

Most product businesses can't do that. Not because their team isn't capable, but because their systems weren't built for it. Landed costs get updated in batches. Freight and duty get allocated after the fact, sometimes weeks after the invoice. Exchange rate movement gets absorbed quietly into a COGS number nobody rechecks until month-end.

That gap between what things actually cost and what your system says they cost is exactly where margin goes missing. Not through one bad decision, but through a hundred small ones made on the wrong number.

This is the same principle behind how we approach COGS accuracy with clients: fix the input, and the pricing decisions downstream take care of themselves.

If you're not confident your landed costs are current right now, we provide a free 30-minute advisory session that will help you find out where your numbers actually stand.

Booking Link: https://tinyurl.com/muw27cs7

Source: Ai Group, Australian Industry Index, June 2026.

The new financial year is the cleanest slate you'll get all year. Most product businesses waste it.They carry last year'...
16/07/2026

The new financial year is the cleanest slate you'll get all year. Most product businesses waste it.

They carry last year's dead stock, stale costs, and messy books straight into July, then wonder why the margins don't add up by Q2.

Here are six things worth an hour of your time this month:
→ Reconcile your books and lock your closing stock value; it sets your COGS for the year
→ Write down dead stock now, not at year-end
→ Reset reorder points to current demand
→ Refresh landed costs before your first PO
→ Get ready for Payday Super, now in effect from 1 July
→ Use the $20,000 instant asset write-off, now permanent

Fix these now, and the rest of the year is a lot less painful.

Save it, tick it off, and start FY2026-27 on numbers you can trust.

If you want a second set of eyes before the year gets busy, book a free 30-min advisory session: Book Here

Most Australian retailers are marketing to the wrong generation.According to Knight Frank research, Australians aged 60–...
09/07/2026

Most Australian retailers are marketing to the wrong generation.

According to Knight Frank research, Australians aged 60–78 spent $12.5 billion online in 2024, outspending Gen Z by nearly $2 billion.

No mortgage. No rent stress. Assets working for them. These shoppers are deliberate, loyal, and ready to spend, and most brands aren't even talking to them.

It is time for retailers to rethink who their real customers are. The businesses that crack this will build a customer base that their competitors are still ignoring.

Does your retail strategy reflect this? Drop your thoughts below.

The difference between a business that benefits from AI and one that gets burned is:Knowing exactly where to hand over t...
15/06/2026

The difference between a business that benefits from AI and one that gets burned is:
Knowing exactly where to hand over the wheel and where to keep both hands on it.

AI is a brilliant assistant, but not a very good accountant.

Most of us have turned on the AI features in Xero or MYOB and moved on. And for a lot of tasks, that's exactly right.

But there's a specific category of decisions in a product business where AI consistently gets it wrong. Not because it's broken. Because it wasn't built for judgment calls.

Inventory write-offs. Landed cost splits. Mixed-supply GST.
COGS coding on new SKUs.
These are not data entry tasks. They're accounting decisions.

And when those decisions are wrong, the impact goes far beyond a bookkeeping error. Margins become unreliable, inventory values become distorted, and compliance risks start to build.

Deloitte's research puts 80% of manufacturers increasing smart tech investment this year. The ones getting ROI from it aren't automating everything. They're identifying where automation adds value and where human oversight remains essential.

If you're not 100% sure which parts of your books AI is currently deciding on your behalf, that's worth a conversation. We do a free 30-minute advisory call with AU manufacturers and distributors specifically to map this out.

Book a complimentary advisory session:
📅 https://calendly.com/vncgroup/advisory_au
🌐 https://vncaustralia.com.au/

ATO Is Getting Smarter. Are your Books keeping up?The is no longer relying on random reviews and paper trails.Through ...
11/06/2026

ATO Is Getting Smarter. Are your Books keeping up?
The is no longer relying on random reviews and paper trails.

Through advanced data-matching and AI systems, it now compares payroll, BAS, superannuation, contractor payments, and industry benchmarks automatically.

Discrepancies are identified faster. Patterns are flagged earlier.
And most businesses don’t realise how visible their numbers have become.

The reality? Most compliance issues aren’t intentional. They’re structural.

Here are two recent examples.

Case 1:
Fast-Growing Construction Business
Revenue was rising quickly, but bookkeeping hadn’t matured with the growth. Payroll classifications were inconsistent, subcontractor payments weren’t clearly separated, and quarterly BAS adjustments were common.

The ATO flagged mismatches between wage reporting and contractor disclosures.
There was no wrongdoing just messy systems.

After restructuring the chart of accounts in Xero, implementing ApprovalMax for controlled payment workflows, and enforcing disciplined monthly reconciliations, the issue stabilised. More importantly, visibility improved and margin clarity followed.

Case 2:
Retail Business with Inventory Gaps
The numbers looked clean at year-end but only because manual inventory adjustments were being posted to “make things balance.” Industry benchmarking flagged unusual gross profit fluctuations.

Once inventory tracking was tightened and invoice capture automated through Dext reporting became consistent. No more large year-end corrections. No more reactive explanations.

What’s changed in today’s environment is this:
- BAS must align with income tax data
- Payroll must match super payments
- Industry ratios are compared automatically
- Large or repeated adjustments stand out
Clean books are no longer just good practice. They are protection.

Strong bookkeeping today means:
- A structured, logical chart of accounts
- Monthly reconciliations not quarterly fixes
- Automated audit trails through Xero, MYOB, or QuickBooks
- Clear approval workflows instead of informal sign-offs

When regulators become smarter, businesses must become more disciplined.

If your numbers were reviewed tomorrow, would they tell a consistent story or require explanation?

If you’d like a structured review of your bookkeeping and reporting systems, book a call with our team.
https://calendly.com/vncgroup/advisory_au or visit: https://vncaustralia.com.au/

Address

Krystle Court Upper, Coomera
Gold Coast, QLD
4209

Opening Hours

Monday 8:30am - 5pm
Tuesday 8:30am - 5pm
Wednesday 8:30am - 5pm
Thursday 8:30am - 5pm
Friday 8:30am - 2:30pm

Telephone

+61433958423

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