15/08/2022
Thoughts on the market on 15. 08. 2022.
Bitcoin moved in the range of $24,000 - $25,040 over the weekend and at the time of writing the review, its trading for $24,670.
Market capitalization $1.190 Trillion, BTC, ETH dominance index of 40.0% and 20.4% , fear index 45. Stock markets opened neutral - S&P 500 futures in a slight negative, Asian indices are growing, the dollar index is above 105.6. This is after hitting our 104.6 target we mentioned on August 2nd. (https://bit.ly/3bWfFQ2
August 17, the minutes will be published, which will be the main news of the week for the markets. Especially if there is something unexpected about the future plans of the Fed. For the European market, inflation data in Germany, which will be released on August 19, will also be important.
Yesterday it became known about the visit of the delegation of the US Congress to Taiwan. It is clear that this is a deliberate further escalation of the conflict by the United States. China is being placed in a situation where the only solution for it is a forceful solution of the issue with Taiwan. What do you think China will do if it learns that an American base will be set up in Taiwan, or that the US is going to make large arms deliveries? The economic meaning of creating centers of instability around the world is to undermine the economies of other countries and increase demand for the dollar.
In the meantime, Congress approved a package of laws for $430 billion. That is for the fight against climate change, lower drug prices and an increase in corporate taxes. The Biden administration referred to the package as the "U.S. Inflation Reduction Act." Fighting inflation by injecting new money is like treating alcoholism with vodka. In the short term, this is good news for the markets. New money is growth.
Today’s outlook for Bitcoin is in the range with the lower limit at $23,600- $23,400, and the upper limit at $25,500- $25,800. Ethereum is teetering around 2K and has been weaker than Bitcoin in the last 24 hours. This is understandable - after rising significantly, a consolidation is needed before the next wave of growth to $2,400- $2,500 or otherwise.
The top manager of Binance for Latin America said that the inflation of the national currencies of the countries of the region and their fall against the dollar encourages more and more people to go into the crypto.
In closing here are some major resistance levels to watch and some commentary:
👉🏾$24/26K market bulls trying to say something.
👉🏾$28/$32 CME gap and works as retracement targets as well.
👉🏾$36/40k first resistance line that ought to be reclaimed weekly = a bull bias sending a clear message looking to overcome.
👉🏾$45K/$47k. a resistance area and reclaiming it = bull market is here
👉🏾$50/55K. Reclaiming this level weekly = Bulls back to revenge
👉🏾$65K. weekly close = new ATH around $75K/83/95K
⚠️ On the contrary major support levels to watch as well:
👉🏾$21/19K trust support breakdown panic hits again.
👉🏾$17,500 /$15,500 Q3 support goes below will open hell gates.
👉🏾$13,000 - 82% for BTC from ATH (previous cycle dip)
👉🏾$9,500 old CME GAP (market )
👉🏾$5,500 (people disbelief)
👉🏾$3,200 (smart money comes) - Saylor's MicroStrategy out
👉🏾$1,500 Hope you will still be here.. As I will be still updating you.
The levels we mentioned above may make some people terrified, no one has the crystal ball, and we may be right or wrong. The point of mentioning these levels is to make you ready, not spread fears, the point is to make you stick with risk management, we do not tell you this is the bottom and you with X100 to easily, and not you as well. Stick with risk management and review your trading /investment plan.
As always, this is not investment advice, and ought not to be considered as a financial recommendation. Must always do your own . .